Race Week
R81 GP
5–7 Jun

Lewis Hamilton needs the heavens to open if Ferrari are to challenge in Montreal

Veerendra SinghVeerendra Singh
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  • Lewis Hamilton starts fifth in Montreal, banking on rain to close Ferrari’s pace deficit.
  • A Straight Line mode failure in Q3 likely cost Hamilton a higher grid position.
  • Pirelli’s wet tyres carry known problems into a race that could turn wet at any moment.

Lewis Hamilton qualified fifth for Sunday’s Canadian Grand Prix at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. The seven-time world champion is counting on rain to close the gap to the cars ahead of him on the grid.

The FIA has declared a weather hazard for race day, with forecasters putting the chance of precipitation at above 40%.

George Russell took pole position for Mercedes, with teammate Kimi Antonelli alongside him on the front row. Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri of McLaren occupy the second row. Hamilton’s Ferrari starts from third row, in fifth.

A promising qualifying undone by a technical glitch

Hamilton’s Friday and Saturday were more promising than his grid slot suggests. He worked through a series of setup changes between the Sprint Race and Grand Prix qualifying and said the car was responding well.

A Straight Line mode failure in Q3, however, forced him to abandon his final flying lap. Speaking to GPBlog after qualifying, Hamilton said he believed the aborted lap cost him a better result.

“It felt great, we made some good changes in qualifying,” he said. “I was hopeful for a better result, but didn’t get my last lap. I think honestly if I got that last lap I probably could have been a bit better.”

He was also investigated by the stewards for allegedly impeding Alpine’s Pierre Gasly at Turn 8. They took no further action, and Hamilton kept his fifth-place start.

Hamilton has struggled through much of 2026 to find a consistent rhythm at Ferrari. In Montreal, he said he had found it, largely by focusing on two specific areas of the car’s behaviour.

“It’s brakes, it’s corner entry stability,” he told GPBlog. “With the setup that I’ve migrated to, I’m much, much happier to attack the car.”

That confidence showed in the timesheets. Hamilton was quicker than his teammate Charles Leclerc across the weekend, which carries some weight given Leclerc’s reputation as one of the sharpest one-lap drivers on the grid.

Leclerc had a difficult afternoon. He said he struggled to generate tyre temperature through Q1 and Q2, describing the feeling as being “on ice.” He qualified eighth, leaving Ferrari with a complicated race to manage from two very different grid positions.

The gap to the front, and why rain changes everything

Hamilton has been direct about what he needs on Sunday. Dry conditions, based on the pace gaps in qualifying, leave Ferrari exposed. Rain, in his view, is the equaliser.

“I’m hoping it is [raining], and I hope that levels us out to the guys ahead, and maybe gives us a bit of a chance to fight with them,” he told GPBlog.

The Circuit Gilles Villeneuve suits that kind of hope. It has long, heavy braking zones and walls close to the track surface. In mixed conditions, experience and car control matter more than raw pace, and Hamilton has both in abundance.

He also brings specific wet-weather knowledge into this weekend. He tested Pirelli’s wet-compound tyres in Italy last month and ran in wet conditions during pre-season testing in Barcelona.

The FIA rain hazard and the tyre problem nobody wants to talk about

The rain hazard declaration came under Article B1.5.11 of the FIA F1 regulations. Forecasters project temperatures of around 11 to 12 degrees Celsius in Montreal on Sunday, which will make tyre warm-up harder for every driver on the grid.

Hamilton used his testing experience to flag a problem with the wet compounds that goes beyond the conditions this weekend. Changes to tyre blanket temperatures have, in his view, created compounds that do not work as well as they should.

“The wet tyres aren’t spectacular in terms of the way that they’ve moved to having no blankets, to having low blanket temperatures, and then ultimately they had to build a tyre that worked with those low blankets, and the tyres didn’t work,” he said. “So we’re constantly battling the tyres that don’t work.”

He said he had pushed Pirelli to raise the blanket temperatures following his test, and that the company had acted on his feedback for the extreme wet compound. But he was clear that the adjustments had not fully resolved the problem.

The 2026 cars add another layer of unpredictability. They have not raced in proper wet conditions yet this season. Their new power units produce considerably more torque, which drivers will need to manage carefully on a cold, low-grip surface.

Hamilton’s simulator snub and a weekend of quiet momentum

One of the quieter decisions Hamilton made before arriving in Montreal was to stop using Ferrari’s simulator. He found that its feedback had not been matching what he felt in the car, and he chose to work instead from data, focusing on braking references, corner balance and mechanical setup.

The approach appears to have helped him find something this weekend. He was more comfortable in the car, more competitive against his teammate, and more confident about attacking on a circuit where precision matters.

The race, though, will test more than Hamilton’s setup work. If the rain comes, Ferrari will need the car to perform on tyres that Hamilton himself says are not good enough.

His grid position is workable. His experience in the wet could play a massive role. But the gap to Mercedes and McLaren through dry qualifying was wide, and rain alone does not guarantee Ferrari can bridge it.

Veerendra is a motorsport journalist with 4+ years of experience covering everything from Formula 1 to NASCAR and IndyCar. As a lifelong racing fan, he is an expert in exploring everything from race analysis to driver profiles and technical innovations in motorsport. When not at his desk, he likes exploring about the mysteries of the Universe or finds himself spending time with his two feline friends.

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